SBET @ $5.51

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.09 · $210 this cycle

18.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$485

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$94

If assigned

-$47,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($988 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	20d	-$0.06	$-0.13 to $-0.03	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.99	34d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.04	75%	68%
Safety Up	$6.99	27d	-$0.06	$-0.14 to $-0.04	77%	69%
Reliable Up	$6.99	41d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.11	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.04 · $60 this cycle

18.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$41

If assigned

-$47,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.24/share ($711 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $6.64.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	13d	+$0.02	$-0.01 to $0.08	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.49	34d	+$0.01	$-0.03 to $0.08	82%	77%
Reliable Up	$6.99	41d	+$0.20	$0.17 to $0.28	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$1,108

Annualized

82%

EV / cycle

+$156

If assigned

-$49,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.30/share ($912 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	20d	-$0.04	$-0.12 to $-0.05	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.49	34d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.02	76%	68%
Safety Up	$7.49	41d	-$0.14	$-0.26 to $-0.16	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$6.49	41d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.08	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.21 · $480 this cycle

27.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$424

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$228

If assigned

-$46,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($1,874 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$6.49	41d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.24	62%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.12 · $240 this cycle

45.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$212

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$126

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($2,141 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$7.49	41d	+$0.10	$0.09 to $0.29	62%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.43 · $1,110 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$979

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$347

If assigned

-$48,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,606 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$5.49	41d	+$0.23	$0.15 to $0.21	62%	37%
Safety Up	$6.49	41d	-$0.24	$-0.35 to $-0.29	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-11 13:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.