SBET @ $5.44

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

19.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$700

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$256

If assigned

-$47,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,412 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	25d	-$0.04	$-0.11 to $-0.02	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.56	32d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.07	71%	56%
Safety Up	$7.06	39d	-$0.09	$-0.19 to $-0.07	77%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.41 · $180 this cycle

56.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$169

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$165

If assigned

-$41,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$1,309

Annualized

98%

EV / cycle

+$259

If assigned

-$49,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,025 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	18d	-$0.04	$-0.13 to $-0.04	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.56	39d	+$0.06	$-0.04 to $0.06	77%	69%
Safety Up	$7.06	32d	-$0.13	$-0.25 to $-0.14	85%	81%
Reliable Up	$6.06	32d	+$0.19	$0.12 to $0.21	71%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.21 · $480 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$281

If assigned

-$46,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($2,015 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$6.56	39d	+$0.12	$0.07 to $0.23	64%	39%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.41 · $180 this cycle

56.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$169

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$165

If assigned

-$41,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.43 · $1,110 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,041

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$459

If assigned

-$48,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,727 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$5.56	39d	+$0.19	$0.10 to $0.18	64%	39%
Safety Up	$6.56	39d	-$0.28	$-0.41 to $-0.33	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 16:23 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.