SBET @ $5.42

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

19.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$700

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$264

If assigned

-$47,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,451 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	25d	-$0.05	$-0.12 to $-0.02	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.58	32d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.06	71%	56%
Safety Up	$7.08	39d	-$0.10	$-0.20 to $-0.07	77%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.06 · $120 this cycle

29.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$327

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$46,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,239 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	18d	-$0.09	$-0.13 to $-0.01	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.58	39d	+$0.02	$-0.03 to $0.11	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$1,309

Annualized

98%

EV / cycle

+$272

If assigned

-$49,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,062 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	18d	-$0.05	$-0.14 to $-0.04	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.58	39d	+$0.05	$-0.06 to $0.05	77%	69%
Safety Up	$7.08	32d	-$0.14	$-0.27 to $-0.15	85%	81%
Reliable Up	$6.08	32d	+$0.18	$0.10 to $0.19	72%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.21 · $480 this cycle

29.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$289

If assigned

-$46,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($2,058 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	39d	-$0.10	$-0.17 to $-0.04	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.58	39d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.21	65%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.41 · $180 this cycle

56.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$169

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$122

If assigned

-$41,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,499 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $8.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	39d	-$0.23	$-0.21 to $-0.03	70%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.43 · $1,110 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,041

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$479

If assigned

-$48,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,764 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	39d	-$0.04	$-0.13 to $-0.06	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$5.58	39d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.16	65%	40%
Safety Up	$6.58	39d	-$0.29	$-0.42 to $-0.34	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 19:33 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.