SBET @ $5.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.13 · $210 this cycle

18.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$350

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$29

If assigned

-$47,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,173 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	25d	-$0.05	$-0.11 to $-0.02	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.03	39d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.20	56%	41%
Safety Up	$7.03	39d	-$0.06	$-0.15 to $-0.04	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

28.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$245

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$61

If assigned

-$46,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,078 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	18d	-$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.06	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.53	39d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.10	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $600 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$1,000

Annualized

74%

EV / cycle

+$163

If assigned

-$48,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,082 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	25d	-$0.03	$-0.10 to $-0.04	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$5.53	32d	+$0.02	$-0.09 to $0.01	51%	37%
Safety Up	$6.53	39d	-$0.04	$-0.15 to $-0.07	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

37.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$281

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$108

If assigned

-$44,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.15 · $240 this cycle

46.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$185

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$68

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,420 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.41 · $1,080 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$831

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$157

If assigned

-$48,420

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 22:13 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.