SBET @ $5.37

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-76.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $390 this cycle

21.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$488

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$172

If assigned

-$47,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($1,837 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	31d	-$0.17	$-0.28 to $-0.13	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.13	31d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.09	63%	40%
Safety Up	$6.63	45d	-$0.11	$-0.23 to $-0.05	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $60 this cycle

30.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$180

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$46

If assigned

-$46,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.31/share ($930 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	+$0.04	$0.05 to $0.13	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$7.63	38d	+$0.05	$0.02 to $0.13	76%	69%
Safety Up	$8.13	45d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.06	79%	76%
Reliable Up	$7.63	45d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.19	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.25 · $690 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$863

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$248

If assigned

-$48,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,696 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	31d	-$0.14	$-0.27 to $-0.16	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$5.63	31d	+$0.05	$-0.06 to $0.05	63%	40%
Safety Up	$6.13	45d	-$0.08	$-0.22 to $-0.10	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.24 · $570 this cycle

30.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$380

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$236

If assigned

-$45,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $180 this cycle

49.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$174

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$90

If assigned

-$43,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($1,874 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.10	$-0.10 to $0.04	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.63	38d	+$0.07	$0.08 to $0.25	63%	41%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,660 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.33 · $840 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$813

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$141

If assigned

-$48,660

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,406 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	38d	+$0.02	$-0.03 to $0.01	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$5.63	38d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.19	63%	41%
Safety Up	$7.13	45d	-$0.27	$-0.41 to $-0.32	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-14 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.