SBET @ $5.68

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-74.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.08 · $180 this cycle

14.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$540

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$46

If assigned

-$47,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($879 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	17d	-$0.21	$-0.33 to $-0.19	56%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.82	38d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.15	72%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.10 · $90 this cycle

23.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$270

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$49

If assigned

-$46,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($947 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	-$0.23	$-0.33 to $-0.17	56%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.32	38d	+$0.11	$0.07 to $0.19	71%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.20 · $540 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,620

Annualized

116%

EV / cycle

+$130

If assigned

-$48,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.27/share ($812 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	17d	-$0.19	$-0.34 to $-0.23	57%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.32	38d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.10	72%	63%
Safety Up	$7.32	24d	-$0.18	$-0.32 to $-0.22	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

32.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$290

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$96

If assigned

-$44,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($2,388 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $7.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	38d	-$0.43	$-0.56 to $-0.29	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.12 · $270 this cycle

40.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$213

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$78

If assigned

-$43,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($2,087 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	45d	-$0.44	$-0.54 to $-0.31	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,970 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.4% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.39 · $30 this cycle

14.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$20

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$856

If assigned

-$47,970

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-14 21:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.