SBET @ $5.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-73.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $330 this cycle

18.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$619

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$181

If assigned

-$46,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,099 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	23d	+$0.06	$0.03 to $0.09	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.12	23d	+$0.00	$-0.04 to $0.03	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$7.62	44d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.10	76%	68%
Safety Up	$8.12	44d	-$0.07	$-0.15 to $-0.04	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.18 · $180 this cycle

52.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$180

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$160

If assigned

-$40,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($1,996 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $9.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	37d	-$0.15	$-0.15 to $-0.01	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.62	44d	+$0.15	$0.19 to $0.37	64%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds23%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $360 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

77%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

83%

EV / cycle

+$170

If assigned

-$47,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.27/share ($816 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	16d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.11	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.62	16d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.05	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$7.62	44d	+$0.04	$-0.05 to $0.05	81%	77%
Safety Up	$8.62	44d	-$0.11	$-0.23 to $-0.11	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$7.12	44d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.19	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.17 · $450 this cycle

27.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$218

If assigned

-$44,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,664 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	37d	-$0.06	$-0.11 to $-0.01	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.12	44d	+$0.25	$0.21 to $0.33	64%	44%
Safety Up	$7.62	44d	-$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.04	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.18 · $180 this cycle

52.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$180

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$160

If assigned

-$40,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($1,996 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $9.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	37d	-$0.15	$-0.15 to $-0.01	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.62	44d	+$0.15	$0.19 to $0.37	64%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,010 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.36 · $990 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$990

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$232

If assigned

-$47,010

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,442 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	37d	-$0.01	$-0.08 to $-0.03	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.62	44d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.01	70%	58%
Safety Up	$8.12	44d	-$0.33	$-0.47 to $-0.38	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-15 03:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.