SBET @ $6.15

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-72.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,320 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.10 · $180 this cycle
13.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$600
Annualized
40%
EV / cycle
+$47
If assigned
-$46,320
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($878 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0016d-$0.15$-0.26 to $-0.1458%53%
Ss Escape$7.8537d+$0.02$-0.07 to $0.0477%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,320 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.10 · $180 this cycle
13.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$600
Annualized
40%
EV / cycle
+$47
If assigned
-$46,320
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($878 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0016d-$0.15$-0.26 to $-0.1458%53%
Ss Escape$7.8537d+$0.02$-0.07 to $0.0477%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,460 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.20 · $540 this cycle
5.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$1,800
Annualized
119%
EV / cycle
+$145
If assigned
-$47,460
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.27/share ($815 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$6.5016d-$0.13$-0.27 to $-0.1759%53%
Ss Escape$7.3537d+$0.03$-0.09 to $-0.0078%73%
Safety Up$7.8530d-$0.12$-0.27 to $-0.1684%82%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,230 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.17 · $270 this cycle
30.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$219
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$60
If assigned
-$43,230
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,154 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.0044d-$0.41$-0.58 to $-0.3461%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,230 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.17 · $270 this cycle
30.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$219
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$60
If assigned
-$43,230
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,154 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.0044d-$0.41$-0.58 to $-0.3461%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,540 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.37 · $960 this cycle
13.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$778
Annualized
51%
EV / cycle
+$168
If assigned
-$45,540
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,885 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $7.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0044d-$0.34$-0.54 to $-0.3962%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-15 21:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.