SBET @ $6.04

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-73.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.13 · $330 this cycle

16.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$660

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$145

If assigned

-$46,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,040 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	22d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.09	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.46	43d	+$0.11	$0.05 to $0.14	74%	65%
Safety Up	$7.96	36d	-$0.08	$-0.16 to $-0.06	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.22 · $180 this cycle

49.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$186

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$152

If assigned

-$40,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,972 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	36d	-$0.08	$-0.09 to $0.06	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.46	43d	+$0.25	$0.27 to $0.48	62%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $390 this cycle

7.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$1,463

Annualized

98%

EV / cycle

+$133

If assigned

-$47,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.25/share ($736 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	15d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.10	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.46	36d	+$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.03	80%	75%
Safety Up	$8.96	43d	-$0.11	$-0.25 to $-0.14	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$7.46	43d	+$0.08	$-0.01 to $0.08	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.23 · $570 this cycle

32.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$398

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$285

If assigned

-$42,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $300 this cycle

49.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$250

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$196

If assigned

-$40,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($2,133 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	43d	-$0.14	$-0.16 to $0.01	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.46	43d	+$0.16	$0.18 to $0.37	62%	39%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.32 · $900 this cycle

16.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$750

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$283

If assigned

-$45,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,659 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	43d	-$0.02	$-0.07 to $-0.02	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.46	43d	+$0.28	$0.24 to $0.30	62%	39%
Safety Up	$7.46	43d	-$0.20	$-0.28 to $-0.22	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-16 03:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.