SBET @ $5.97

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-73.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.12 · $120 this cycle

17.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$240

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

-$47

If assigned

-$46,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,369 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	22d	-$0.35	$-0.52 to $-0.33	57%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.03	36d	+$0.00	$-0.10 to $0.04	66%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.17 · $240 this cycle

34.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$20

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,923 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	43d	-$0.35	$-0.46 to $-0.27	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$1,125

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$82

If assigned

-$47,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.30/share ($899 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	15d	-$0.06	$-0.16 to $-0.07	63%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.53	36d	+$0.17	$0.07 to $0.17	67%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.17 · $240 this cycle

34.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$20

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,923 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	43d	-$0.35	$-0.46 to $-0.27	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.17 · $240 this cycle

34.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$20

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,923 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	43d	-$0.35	$-0.46 to $-0.27	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.49 · $390 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$272

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

-$592

If assigned

-$47,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-16 21:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.