SBET @ $5.84

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-74.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.09 · $210 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$47,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.26/share ($766 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	14d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.12	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.66	14d	+$0.01	$-0.05 to $0.02	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$7.66	42d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.04	81%	78%
Safety Up	$8.16	42d	-$0.06	$-0.17 to $-0.05	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$7.16	42d	+$0.17	$0.09 to $0.18	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.05 · $90 this cycle

37.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$193

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$69

If assigned

-$43,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.43/share ($1,283 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	21d	-$0.01	$-0.01 to $0.10	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.66	42d	+$0.01	$-0.02 to $0.12	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.17 · $450 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$964

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$165

If assigned

-$47,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,042 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	21d	+$0.04	$-0.00 to $0.05	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.16	42d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.04	76%	69%
Safety Up	$7.66	35d	-$0.14	$-0.25 to $-0.15	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$6.66	42d	+$0.22	$0.14 to $0.23	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.26 · $600 this cycle

28.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$429

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$295

If assigned

-$44,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.10 · $240 this cycle

54.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$206

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$162

If assigned

-$40,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($2,178 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	42d	-$0.14	$-0.14 to $0.02	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.66	42d	+$0.02	$0.05 to $0.23	64%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,740 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.47 · $1,260 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$324

If assigned

-$46,740

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 03:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.