SBET @ $5.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-75.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,380 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.10 · $120 this cycle
28.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$257
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$79
If assigned
-$46,380
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,171 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.18.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0021d-$0.62$-0.82 to $-0.4857%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,380 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.10 · $120 this cycle
28.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$257
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$79
If assigned
-$46,380
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,171 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.18.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0021d-$0.62$-0.82 to $-0.4857%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,480 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.43 · $1,020 this cycle
9.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$874
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$207
If assigned
-$48,480
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.21 · $330 this cycle
37.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$236
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$91
If assigned
-$44,670
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,230 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.12 · $270 this cycle
46.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$231
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$163
If assigned
-$43,230
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,480 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.43 · $1,020 this cycle
9.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$874
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$207
If assigned
-$48,480
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.