SBET @ $5.63

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

15.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$692

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$150

If assigned

-$47,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.31/share ($930 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	20d	+$0.06	$0.03 to $0.09	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.87	27d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.02	73%	65%
Safety Up	$7.37	41d	-$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.01	80%	74%
Reliable Up	$6.87	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.18	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

33.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$208

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$68

If assigned

-$44,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,073 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	20d	+$0.03	$0.06 to $0.14	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.87	34d	+$0.07	$0.05 to $0.18	72%	63%
Reliable Up	$8.37	41d	-$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.08	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

6.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$1,650

Annualized

119%

EV / cycle

+$117

If assigned

-$49,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.19/share ($579 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	13d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.13	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.37	41d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.01	85%	82%
Safety Up	$8.37	41d	-$0.08	$-0.20 to $-0.10	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$6.87	41d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.11	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.20 · $450 this cycle

33.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$329

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$208

If assigned

-$44,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

42.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$265

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$152

If assigned

-$43,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,888 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	41d	-$0.08	$-0.10 to $0.01	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,040 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.37 · $960 this cycle

15.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$702

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$338

If assigned

-$47,040

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-18 03:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.