SBET @ $5.84

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-74.0%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 25 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.44 · $390 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$468

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$347

If assigned

-$47,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.96/share ($2,877 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $6.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	32d	-$0.63	$-0.83 to $-0.44	77%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds0%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 25 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.10 · $150 this cycle

37.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99+%

Income / mo

$180

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$150

If assigned

-$43,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.18/share ($3,541 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	32d	-$0.91	-	77%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.18 · $210 this cycle

2.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$573

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$54

If assigned

-$49,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,119 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $6.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	18d	-$0.31	$-0.52 to $-0.37	58%	51%
Ss Escape	$6.16	32d	+$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.03	86%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds0%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

37.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99+%

Income / mo

$281

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$300

If assigned

-$43,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($2,276 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	39d	-$0.61	-	65%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,970 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.39 · $30 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$23

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$71

If assigned

-$47,970

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,030 (premium included).

Called-away odds40%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.53 · $1,470 this cycle

2.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

60%

Income / mo

$1,378

Annualized

96%

EV / cycle

+$1,093

If assigned

-$48,030

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,707 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $6.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	39d	-$0.38	$-0.61 to $-0.50	66%	52%
Safety Up	$6.16	39d	-$0.44	$-0.69 to $-0.57	72%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-20 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.