SBET @ $6.11

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

14.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$990

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$169

If assigned

-$46,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($973 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	+$0.09	$0.06 to $0.13	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.89	38d	+$0.04	$-0.05 to $0.06	79%	73%
Safety Up	$8.39	38d	-$0.07	$-0.19 to $-0.06	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$7.39	38d	+$0.19	$0.13 to $0.23	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

47.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$188

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$40,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,966 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	31d	-$0.10	$-0.09 to $0.06	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.89	38d	+$0.03	$0.06 to $0.23	67%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.23 · $600 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

119%

EV / cycle

+$173

If assigned

-$47,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.30/share ($903 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	17d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.10	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.39	38d	+$0.04	$-0.07 to $0.01	79%	74%
Safety Up	$8.89	38d	-$0.17	$-0.33 to $-0.22	93%	92%
Reliable Up	$6.89	38d	+$0.19	$0.10 to $0.17	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

30.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$474

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$354

If assigned

-$42,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.12 · $270 this cycle

55.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$213

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$228

If assigned

-$38,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,570 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.33 · $930 this cycle

14.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$332

If assigned

-$45,570

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,728 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	38d	-$0.02	$-0.09 to $-0.03	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.89	38d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.03	67%	51%
Safety Up	$7.39	38d	-$0.18	$-0.27 to $-0.20	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.