SBET @ $6.26

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.12 · $270 this cycle

19.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$476

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$117

If assigned

-$44,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,223 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	24d	+$0.02	$-0.01 to $0.07	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.74	31d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.07	71%	60%
Safety Up	$8.24	38d	-$0.09	$-0.17 to $-0.05	76%	70%
Reliable Up	$7.74	38d	+$0.07	$0.00 to $0.12	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.07 · $120 this cycle

35.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$212

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$81

If assigned

-$41,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,386 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $8.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	24d	-$0.01	$-0.02 to $0.09	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.74	38d	+$0.03	$0.01 to $0.16	70%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.30 · $750 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$938

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$171

If assigned

-$45,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,470 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	31d	-$0.01	$-0.09 to $-0.03	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.74	31d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.10	64%	46%
Safety Up	$7.74	38d	-$0.21	$-0.35 to $-0.25	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

27.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$465

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$190

If assigned

-$43,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($1,846 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.10	$-0.16 to $-0.05	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.74	38d	+$0.02	$-0.03 to $0.09	63%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.11 · $240 this cycle

51.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$189

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$181

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,540 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.34 · $960 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$929

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$218

If assigned

-$45,540

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,616 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	38d	-$0.05	$-0.13 to $-0.07	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.74	38d	+$0.07	$-0.00 to $0.06	63%	47%
Safety Up	$7.74	38d	-$0.29	$-0.42 to $-0.34	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 12:01 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.