SBET @ $6.23

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

20.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$66

If assigned

-$44,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.31/share ($938 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	17d	-$0.05	$-0.11 to $-0.00	62%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.27	31d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.07	77%	71%
Reliable Up	$7.77	31d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.13	69%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.06 · $120 this cycle

28.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$83

If assigned

-$43,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($1,000 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	17d	-$0.07	$-0.09 to $0.04	62%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.77	31d	+$0.01	$-0.01 to $0.13	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,480 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.36 · $1,020 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$987

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$289

If assigned

-$45,480

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,524 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	38d	-$0.08	$-0.18 to $-0.11	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.77	38d	+$0.15	$0.11 to $0.15	65%	48%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.20 · $450 this cycle

28.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$435

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$164

If assigned

-$43,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,742 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.13	$-0.21 to $-0.09	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.77	38d	+$0.11	$0.08 to $0.18	65%	48%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.11 · $240 this cycle

36.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$232

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$52

If assigned

-$41,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($1,851 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $8.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	38d	-$0.16	$-0.22 to $-0.08	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.27	38d	+$0.09	$0.07 to $0.18	65%	48%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,480 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.36 · $1,020 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$987

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$289

If assigned

-$45,480

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,524 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	38d	-$0.08	$-0.18 to $-0.11	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.77	38d	+$0.15	$0.11 to $0.15	65%	48%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 21:45 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.