SBET @ $6.25

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

19.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$619

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$138

If assigned

-$44,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,256 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	23d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.11	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.75	30d	+$0.05	$-0.01 to $0.09	72%	60%
Safety Up	$8.25	37d	-$0.03	$-0.12 to $0.01	77%	70%
Reliable Up	$7.75	37d	+$0.13	$0.06 to $0.17	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.10 · $180 this cycle

43.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$235

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$155

If assigned

-$40,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,991 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $9.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	30d	-$0.10	$-0.11 to $0.04	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.75	30d	+$0.02	$0.04 to $0.20	65%	45%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $570 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$1,069

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$189

If assigned

-$45,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,172 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	23d	+$0.08	$0.04 to $0.09	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.25	30d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.06	72%	61%
Safety Up	$8.25	37d	-$0.13	$-0.26 to $-0.16	82%	79%
Reliable Up	$7.25	37d	+$0.14	$0.06 to $0.13	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $540 this cycle

27.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$540

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$328

If assigned

-$42,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($1,795 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	37d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.03	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.75	37d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.17	65%	47%
Safety Up	$8.25	37d	-$0.12	$-0.18 to $-0.09	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.11 · $210 this cycle

51.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$210

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$95

If assigned

-$38,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($2,132 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $9.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	37d	-$0.10	$-0.10 to $0.04	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.25	37d	+$0.02	$0.04 to $0.19	65%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,480 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.36 · $1,020 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,020

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$330

If assigned

-$45,480

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($1,571 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	37d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.02	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.75	37d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.14	65%	47%
Safety Up	$8.25	37d	-$0.33	$-0.46 to $-0.38	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.