SBET @ $6.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $180 this cycle

18.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$104

If assigned

-$44,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,019 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	16d	-$0.15	$-0.24 to $-0.11	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.16	37d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.07	74%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $180 this cycle

18.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$104

If assigned

-$44,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,019 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	16d	-$0.15	$-0.24 to $-0.11	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.16	37d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.07	74%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.14 · $360 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

77%

EV / cycle

+$114

If assigned

-$46,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($951 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	16d	-$0.13	$-0.26 to $-0.14	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.67	37d	+$0.03	$-0.08 to $0.03	75%	69%
Safety Up	$8.16	37d	-$0.08	$-0.21 to $-0.09	80%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.18 · $360 this cycle

26.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$93

If assigned

-$43,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.89/share ($2,659 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	37d	-$0.65	$-0.88 to $-0.58	60%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.18 · $360 this cycle

26.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$93

If assigned

-$43,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.89/share ($2,659 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	37d	-$0.65	$-0.88 to $-0.58	60%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,420 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.57 · $1,080 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$876

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$83

If assigned

-$45,420

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.