SBET @ $6.25

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $270 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,012

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$123

If assigned

-$46,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.28/share ($836 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	15d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.25	15d	+$0.00	$-0.05 to $0.01	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$7.75	29d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.06	78%	72%
Safety Up	$8.75	36d	-$0.09	$-0.19 to $-0.09	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$7.75	36d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.10	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $60 this cycle

27.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$225

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$49

If assigned

-$43,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($955 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	15d	+$0.10	$0.10 to $0.19	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.75	29d	+$0.04	$-0.00 to $0.13	77%	71%
Reliable Up	$8.75	36d	+$0.07	$0.04 to $0.17	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,720 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.28 · $780 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$1,064

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$296

If assigned

-$45,720

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,462 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	29d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.03	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.75	29d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.16	65%	46%
Safety Up	$7.75	29d	-$0.24	$-0.36 to $-0.27	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

27.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$500

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$294

If assigned

-$42,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.11 · $240 this cycle

51.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$64

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.42 · $1,110 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$925

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$322

If assigned

-$45,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-23 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.