SBET @ $6.16

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.34 · $600 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$500

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$42,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,804 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	43d	-$0.58	$-0.80 to $-0.50	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.18 · $60 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$225

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$46

If assigned

-$43,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($1,322 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	15d	-$0.37	$-0.49 to $-0.19	55%	52%
Ss Escape	$7.84	29d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.26	62%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds23%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.17 · $150 this cycle

13.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

77%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

-$105

If assigned

-$46,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,349 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	22d	-$0.30	$-0.47 to $-0.30	58%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.84	29d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $0.04	62%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.34 · $600 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$500

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$42,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,804 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	43d	-$0.58	$-0.80 to $-0.50	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.34 · $600 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$500

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$42,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,804 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	43d	-$0.58	$-0.80 to $-0.50	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,470 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.39 · $30 this cycle

13.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$25

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$665

If assigned

-$46,470

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,453 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	43d	-$0.48	$-0.76 to $-0.56	63%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-23 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.