SBET @ $6.05

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-73.1%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,170 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$707
Annualized
47%
EV / cycle
+$130
If assigned
-$46,170
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($989 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $7.17.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0021d+$0.10$0.07 to $0.1267%53%
Ss Escape$7.4528d+$0.03$-0.02 to $0.0575%66%
Safety Up$7.9528d-$0.11$-0.19 to $-0.1081%77%
Reliable Up$7.4535d+$0.08$0.02 to $0.1174%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,940 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $60 this cycle
23.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$257
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$46
If assigned
-$44,940
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.28/share ($843 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5014d+$0.10$0.10 to $0.1868%52%
Ss Escape$8.4535d+$0.04$-0.00 to $0.1379%74%
Safety Up$8.4528d-$0.01$-0.05 to $0.0880%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,640 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.14 · $360 this cycle
7.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$1,543
Annualized
103%
EV / cycle
+$121
If assigned
-$47,640
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.24/share ($731 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$6.5014d+$0.11$0.08 to $0.1268%53%
Ss Escape$7.4535d+$0.05$-0.06 to $0.0380%75%
Safety Up$8.4535d-$0.10$-0.24 to $-0.1389%87%
Reliable Up$6.9535d+$0.19$0.10 to $0.1874%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,050 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.19 · $450 this cycle
32.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$386
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$212
If assigned
-$43,050
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,922 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $8.22.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.0042d-$0.15$-0.22 to $-0.0966%54%
Ss Escape$7.4542d+$0.06$0.01 to $0.1858%37%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.10 · $240 this cycle
56.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$206
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$155
If assigned
-$38,760
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($2,283 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $9.74.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5042d-$0.26$-0.26 to $-0.0666%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,600 (premium included).
Called-away odds29%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.34 · $900 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
71%
Income / mo
$771
Annualized
52%
EV / cycle
+$277
If assigned
-$45,600
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,682 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $7.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0042d-$0.09$-0.18 to $-0.1067%54%
Ss Escape$6.4542d+$0.12$0.04 to $0.1358%37%
Safety Up$7.4542d-$0.28$-0.41 to $-0.3172%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-24 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.