SBET @ $5.82

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-74.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.10 · $120 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

-$14

If assigned

-$47,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.26/share ($781 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	14d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.04	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.18	42d	+$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.05	76%	70%
Reliable Up	$6.68	28d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.26	72%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

20.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$49

If assigned

-$46,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.28/share ($841 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	14d	+$0.01	$-0.03 to $0.06	65%	52%
Ss Escape	$7.68	42d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.09	75%	70%
Reliable Up	$7.18	28d	+$0.23	$0.20 to $0.30	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,340 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.38 · $660 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$943

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$133

If assigned

-$47,340

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,977 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	28d	-$0.22	$-0.41 to $-0.25	67%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.24 · $300 this cycle

37.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$214

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$62

If assigned

-$43,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.22 · $300 this cycle

46.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$214

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$114

If assigned

-$41,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.45 · $750 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$643

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

-$61

If assigned

-$47,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,618 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	42d	-$0.10	$-0.19 to $-0.13	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.18	42d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.03	62%	44%
Safety Up	$6.68	42d	-$0.18	$-0.28 to $-0.21	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-24 21:43 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.