SBET @ $5.85

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-74.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $180 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$86

If assigned

-$47,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.21/share ($640 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.65.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	13d	+$0.11	$0.09 to $0.14	68%	52%
Up And Out	$6.65	13d	+$0.04	$-0.00 to $0.06	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$8.15	41d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.03	85%	83%
Safety Up	$8.65	41d	-$0.05	$-0.15 to $-0.04	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$7.65	41d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.11	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 20 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.07 · $120 this cycle

45.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$180

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$76

If assigned

-$41,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($1,729 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $8.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	27d	-$0.10	$-0.10 to $0.02	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.65	41d	+$0.01	$0.02 to $0.16	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $450 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$1,038

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$192

If assigned

-$47,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($870 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	20d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.13	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.65	20d	+$0.05	$0.01 to $0.05	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$7.15	34d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.06	77%	70%
Safety Up	$8.65	41d	-$0.15	$-0.27 to $-0.16	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$7.15	41d	+$0.11	$0.05 to $0.12	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.21 · $510 this cycle

28.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$188

If assigned

-$44,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($1,794 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	41d	-$0.03	$-0.08 to $0.01	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.15	41d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.20	64%	43%
Safety Up	$7.65	41d	-$0.10	$-0.15 to $-0.06	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.16 · $210 this cycle

53.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$185

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$40,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,153 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	41d	-$0.14	$-0.16 to $-0.00	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.65	41d	+$0.02	$0.02 to $0.20	64%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,860 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.42 · $1,140 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,006

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$339

If assigned

-$46,860

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($1,555 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	41d	+$0.02	$-0.04 to $0.00	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.15	41d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.17	64%	43%
Safety Up	$7.65	41d	-$0.33	$-0.46 to $-0.38	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-25 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.