SBET @ $6.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.09 · $240 this cycle

18.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$720

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$130

If assigned

-$44,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,070 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	17d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.14	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.67	17d	+$0.00	$-0.05 to $0.04	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$8.18	31d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.05	76%	69%
Safety Up	$8.68	38d	-$0.03	$-0.12 to $0.02	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$8.18	38d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.12	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $120 this cycle

42.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$212

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$81

If assigned

-$40,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,674 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $9.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	24d	-$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.10	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.18	38d	+$0.03	$0.02 to $0.20	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $450 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

87%

EV / cycle

+$166

If assigned

-$46,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($998 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.11	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.17	17d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.01	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$7.67	31d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.00	77%	70%
Safety Up	$8.68	38d	-$0.13	$-0.28 to $-0.15	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$7.17	38d	+$0.24	$0.16 to $0.25	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.21 · $540 this cycle

26.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$523

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$267

If assigned

-$42,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,880 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.05	$-0.11 to $-0.01	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.67	38d	+$0.11	$0.07 to $0.18	64%	45%
Safety Up	$8.18	38d	-$0.14	$-0.21 to $-0.10	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,790 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.10 · $210 this cycle

50.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$203

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$129

If assigned

-$38,790

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($2,233 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $9.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	38d	-$0.15	$-0.15 to $0.01	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.18	38d	+$0.02	$0.03 to $0.22	64%	45%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.41 · $1,110 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,074

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$301

If assigned

-$45,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,645 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	38d	-$0.00	$-0.07 to $-0.02	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.67	38d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.16	64%	44%
Safety Up	$8.18	38d	-$0.34	$-0.47 to $-0.39	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.