SBET @ $6.38

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-71.6%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,790 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.09 · $210 this cycle
17.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$630
Annualized
40%
EV / cycle
+$80
If assigned
-$44,790
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,073 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.72.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5017d+$0.08$0.04 to $0.1267%53%
Up And Out$7.6217d+$0.02$-0.03 to $0.0669%57%
Ss Escape$8.1231d+$0.01$-0.07 to $0.0675%68%
Safety Up$8.6238d-$0.02$-0.12 to $0.0280%76%
Reliable Up$8.1238d+$0.08$0.00 to $0.1375%67%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,380 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $9 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.06 · $120 this cycle
41.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$212
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$77
If assigned
-$40,380
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($1,806 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $9.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0024d-$0.06$-0.07 to $0.0867%53%
Ss Escape$9.1238d+$0.01$0.00 to $0.1869%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,020 (premium included).
Called-away odds27%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.18 · $480 this cycle
9.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
73%
Income / mo
$1,440
Annualized
92%
EV / cycle
+$155
If assigned
-$46,020
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($1,001 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0017d+$0.09$0.03 to $0.0967%53%
Up And Out$7.1217d+$0.03$-0.04 to $0.0269%57%
Ss Escape$7.6231d+$0.02$-0.09 to $0.0075%69%
Safety Up$8.6238d-$0.12$-0.27 to $-0.1585%82%
Reliable Up$7.6238d+$0.09$-0.02 to $0.0875%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,930 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.22 · $570 this cycle
25.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$552
Annualized
35%
EV / cycle
+$240
If assigned
-$42,930
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($2,021 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $8.22.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.0038d-$0.10$-0.18 to $-0.0668%54%
Ss Escape$7.6238d+$0.10$0.04 to $0.1664%43%
Safety Up$8.1238d-$0.16$-0.25 to $-0.1469%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.12 · $240 this cycle
48.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$232
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$139
If assigned
-$38,760
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($2,400 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $9.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5038d-$0.21$-0.23 to $-0.0368%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,360 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.45 · $1,140 this cycle
9.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$1,103
Annualized
70%
EV / cycle
+$236
If assigned
-$45,360
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,768 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.20.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0038d-$0.05$-0.14 to $-0.0868%54%
Ss Escape$6.6238d+$0.15$0.07 to $0.1364%43%
Safety Up$8.1238d-$0.37$-0.53 to $-0.4483%80%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 11:55 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.