SBET @ $6.11

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.18 · $480 this cycle

14.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,440

Annualized

96%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$46,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,364 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	+$0.11	$0.05 to $0.15	72%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.39	24d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.06	76%	65%
Safety Up	$8.39	38d	-$0.13	$-0.29 to $-0.10	85%	81%
Reliable Up	$7.39	38d	+$0.15	$0.04 to $0.20	75%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.06 · $120 this cycle

47.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$212

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$98

If assigned

-$40,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($2,242 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	24d	-$0.07	$-0.06 to $0.14	71%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.89	31d	+$0.07	$0.08 to $0.32	69%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,040 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.34 · $960 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$2,880

Annualized

191%

EV / cycle

+$523

If assigned

-$47,040

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,266 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	17d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.10	72%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.89	24d	+$0.04	$-0.09 to $0.00	76%	65%
Safety Up	$8.39	31d	-$0.26	$-0.50 to $-0.33	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$6.89	38d	+$0.16	$0.01 to $0.12	75%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.22 · $570 this cycle

31.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$552

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$358

If assigned

-$42,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($2,362 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.09	$-0.15 to $-0.02	71%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.39	38d	+$0.31	$0.27 to $0.45	66%	37%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.12 · $240 this cycle

55.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$232

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$178

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,804 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $9.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	38d	-$0.22	$-0.19 to $0.00	71%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.89	38d	+$0.19	$0.25 to $0.51	66%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,360 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.45 · $1,140 this cycle

14.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$1,103

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$508

If assigned

-$45,360

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($2,066 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	38d	-$0.02	$-0.10 to $-0.03	71%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.89	38d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.03	70%	51%
Safety Up	$7.39	38d	-$0.22	$-0.33 to $-0.25	76%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 12:25 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.