SBET @ $6.12

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.17 · $150 this cycle

14.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

-$18

If assigned

-$46,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($1,429 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	-$0.36	$-0.58 to $-0.34	57%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

47.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$188

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$103

If assigned

-$40,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,802 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $9.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	31d	-$0.69	$-0.83 to $-0.43	60%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,380 (premium included).

Annualized yield 6.3% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.41 · $120 this cycle

14.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$95

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$683

If assigned

-$46,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds41%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.48 · $330 this cycle

6.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

59%

Income / mo

$319

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

-$753

If assigned

-$47,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($2,211 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	38d	-$0.47	$-0.78 to $-0.63	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,470 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.9% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.13 · $30 this cycle

30.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$29

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$193

If assigned

-$43,470

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.91/share ($2,722 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.61	$-0.83 to $-0.54	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,380 (premium included).

Annualized yield 6.3% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.41 · $120 this cycle

14.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$95

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$683

If assigned

-$46,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 21:37 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.