SBET @ $6.41

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.09 · $240 this cycle

17.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$800

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$121

If assigned

-$44,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,122 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	16d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.11	67%	53%
Up And Out	$7.59	16d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.05	68%	56%
Ss Escape	$8.09	30d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.06	75%	68%
Safety Up	$8.59	37d	-$0.04	$-0.15 to $-0.00	80%	76%
Reliable Up	$8.09	37d	+$0.09	$0.00 to $0.13	76%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.06 · $60 this cycle

32.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$43

If assigned

-$41,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,272 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $8.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	16d	+$0.04	$0.03 to $0.16	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.09	37d	+$0.06	$0.03 to $0.21	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $510 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$1,700

Annualized

108%

EV / cycle

+$195

If assigned

-$45,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,047 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	16d	+$0.08	$-0.00 to $0.07	67%	53%
Up And Out	$7.09	16d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.02	68%	57%
Ss Escape	$7.59	30d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.01	76%	68%
Safety Up	$8.59	30d	-$0.16	$-0.32 to $-0.19	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$7.59	37d	+$0.09	$-0.02 to $0.08	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,870 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.24 · $630 this cycle

24.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$630

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$314

If assigned

-$42,870

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,928 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	37d	-$0.05	$-0.11 to $-0.00	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.59	37d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.23	64%	42%
Safety Up	$8.09	37d	-$0.10	$-0.16 to $-0.06	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.27 · $240 this cycle

48.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$240

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$111

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($2,289 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $9.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	37d	-$0.16	$-0.16 to $-0.00	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.09	37d	+$0.05	$0.07 to $0.24	64%	42%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.45 · $1,200 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$333

If assigned

-$45,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,687 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	37d	-$0.00	$-0.07 to $-0.03	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.59	37d	+$0.20	$0.13 to $0.18	64%	42%
Safety Up	$8.09	37d	-$0.35	$-0.50 to $-0.42	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-29 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.