SBET @ $6.26

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.15 · $300 this cycle

19.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$57

If assigned

-$44,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,249 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	22d	-$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.03	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.74	36d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.11	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.11 · $150 this cycle

35.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$205

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$45

If assigned

-$41,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($2,237 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $8.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	29d	-$0.27	$-0.35 to $-0.11	66%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.20 · $510 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$1,020

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$51

If assigned

-$45,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,166 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	22d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.01	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.24	36d	+$0.07	$-0.01 to $0.08	71%	60%
Safety Up	$7.74	29d	-$0.15	$-0.27 to $-0.17	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.16 · $360 this cycle

35.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$64

If assigned

-$41,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.16 · $360 this cycle

35.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$64

If assigned

-$41,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,510 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.42 · $990 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$825

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$142

If assigned

-$45,510

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 19:16 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.