SBET @ $6.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.17 · $300 this cycle

26.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$409

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$130

If assigned

-$43,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,580 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	29d	-$0.64	$-0.89 to $-0.53	59%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

42.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$205

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$113

If assigned

-$40,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($2,903 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $9.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	29d	-$0.74	$-0.88 to $-0.48	59%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.35 · $690 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$714

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

-$124

If assigned

-$45,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,426 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	36d	-$0.55	$-0.87 to $-0.66	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds46%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.62 · $750 this cycle

2.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

54%

Income / mo

$625

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

-$652

If assigned

-$47,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($2,411 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	43d	-$0.67	$-1.13 to $-0.95	58%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,970 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.23 · $30 this cycle

34.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$25

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$294

If assigned

-$41,970

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.05/share ($3,153 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	43d	-$0.91	$-1.19 to $-0.75	57%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,320 (premium included).

Annualized yield 9.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.44 · $180 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$150

Annualized

10%

EV / cycle

-$747

If assigned

-$46,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,596 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	43d	-$0.73	$-1.13 to $-0.88	58%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.