SBET @ $6.45

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $180 this cycle

16.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$771

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$108

If assigned

-$44,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($963 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	14d	+$0.10	$0.06 to $0.16	67%	53%
Up And Out	$7.55	14d	+$0.07	$0.02 to $0.12	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$8.55	42d	+$0.00	$-0.10 to $0.05	78%	74%
Reliable Up	$8.05	35d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.18	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

47.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$193

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$71

If assigned

-$38,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,619 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $9.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	21d	+$0.01	$0.04 to $0.17	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.55	28d	+$0.05	$0.09 to $0.25	69%	55%
Reliable Up	$9.55	35d	+$0.10	$0.12 to $0.31	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.17 · $450 this cycle

8.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$1,929

Annualized

121%

EV / cycle

+$201

If assigned

-$46,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.30/share ($899 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	14d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.11	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.05	14d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.08	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$8.05	35d	+$0.00	$-0.14 to $-0.01	79%	75%
Safety Up	$9.05	35d	-$0.15	$-0.32 to $-0.17	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$7.55	35d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.11	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.21 · $480 this cycle

31.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$411

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$261

If assigned

-$41,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,150 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $8.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	42d	-$0.24	$-0.34 to $-0.16	65%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

47.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$231

If assigned

-$38,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($2,403 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $9.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	42d	-$0.31	$-0.35 to $-0.14	65%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,070 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.36 · $930 this cycle

16.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$797

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$237

If assigned

-$44,070

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,897 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	42d	-$0.18	$-0.30 to $-0.19	65%	54%
Safety Up	$7.55	42d	-$0.16	$-0.28 to $-0.17	67%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.