SBET @ $6.13

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.09 · $150 this cycle

14.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$643

Annualized

42%

EV / cycle

+$78

If assigned

-$46,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.38/share ($1,135 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	14d	-$0.19	$-0.33 to $-0.15	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.87	28d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.10	62%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.12 · $180 this cycle

30.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$43,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,577 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	28d	-$0.54	$-0.72 to $-0.41	62%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

119%

EV / cycle

+$117

If assigned

-$47,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,054 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	14d	-$0.17	$-0.37 to $-0.22	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.37	28d	+$0.06	$-0.12 to $0.02	62%	50%
Safety Up	$7.37	28d	-$0.14	$-0.34 to $-0.18	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.46 · $300 this cycle

14.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

-$387

If assigned

-$46,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,610 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	42d	-$0.50	$-0.78 to $-0.58	64%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,470 (premium included).

Annualized yield 1.7% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.38 · $30 this cycle

30.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$26

Annualized

EV / cycle

-$200

If assigned

-$43,470

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.99/share ($2,983 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	42d	-$0.61	$-0.83 to $-0.53	63%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.46 · $300 this cycle

14.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

-$387

If assigned

-$46,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($2,610 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	42d	-$0.50	$-0.78 to $-0.58	64%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.