SBET @ $6.05

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-73.1%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,350 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.07 · $150 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$750
Annualized
50%
EV / cycle
+$93
If assigned
-$46,350
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.26/share ($785 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0013d+$0.12$0.10 to $0.1768%53%
Ss Escape$7.9534d+$0.07$-0.01 to $0.1080%75%
Safety Up$8.4541d-$0.01$-0.11 to $0.0284%81%
Reliable Up$7.9541d+$0.08$0.01 to $0.1179%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,940 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.05 · $60 this cycle
23.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$300
Annualized
20%
EV / cycle
+$49
If assigned
-$44,940
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.28/share ($841 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5013d+$0.12$0.13 to $0.1968%53%
Ss Escape$8.4534d+$0.06$0.05 to $0.1479%74%
Safety Up$8.9541d-$0.02$-0.05 to $0.0683%80%
Reliable Up$8.4541d+$0.07$0.06 to $0.1679%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,610 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $390 this cycle
7.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$1,950
Annualized
131%
EV / cycle
+$148
If assigned
-$47,610
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.24/share ($729 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $6.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$6.5013d+$0.13$0.09 to $0.1468%53%
Ss Escape$7.4534d+$0.07$-0.03 to $0.0680%75%
Safety Up$8.9541d-$0.12$-0.27 to $-0.1490%89%
Reliable Up$7.4541d+$0.08$-0.02 to $0.0880%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,080 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.17 · $420 this cycle
32.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$371
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$162
If assigned
-$43,080
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($1,970 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $8.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.0041d-$0.11$-0.17 to $-0.0568%53%
Ss Escape$7.4541d+$0.20$0.17 to $0.3162%38%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,290 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $9 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.11 · $210 this cycle
48.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$185
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$73
If assigned
-$40,290
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($2,217 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $9.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0041d-$0.19$-0.21 to $-0.0668%53%
Ss Escape$8.4541d+$0.13$0.14 to $0.3262%38%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,540 (premium included).
Called-away odds29%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $7 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.34 · $960 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
71%
Income / mo
$847
Annualized
57%
EV / cycle
+$365
If assigned
-$45,540
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,724 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $7.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.0041d-$0.05$-0.13 to $-0.0668%54%
Ss Escape$6.4541d+$0.26$0.21 to $0.2962%37%
Safety Up$7.4541d-$0.23$-0.33 to $-0.2675%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-01 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.