SBET @ $6.21

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.17 · $420 this cycle

20.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$741

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$191

If assigned

-$44,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,364 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	24d	+$0.04	$-0.00 to $0.09	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.29	45d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.07	77%	70%
Reliable Up	$7.79	38d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.11	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.06 · $120 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$360

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$111

If assigned

-$43,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,227 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	17d	+$0.07	$0.09 to $0.19	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.79	45d	+$0.12	$0.07 to $0.23	76%	69%
Safety Up	$8.79	38d	-$0.03	$-0.08 to $0.09	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.17 · $450 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

88%

EV / cycle

+$182

If assigned

-$46,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,073 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	+$0.10	$0.06 to $0.13	70%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.79	45d	+$0.13	$0.02 to $0.13	77%	70%
Safety Up	$8.79	45d	-$0.07	$-0.22 to $-0.09	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.20 · $510 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$494

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$213

If assigned

-$42,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,893 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	38d	-$0.07	$-0.12 to $-0.01	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.79	38d	+$0.04	$-0.01 to $0.11	66%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.11 · $240 this cycle

52.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$189

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$80

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($2,417 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $9.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	45d	-$0.11	$-0.12 to $0.03	69%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,030 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.51 · $1,470 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$980

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$458

If assigned

-$45,030

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-04 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.