SBET @ $6.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.12 · $210 this cycle

27.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$371

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$89

If assigned

-$43,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,765 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	24d	-$0.41	$-0.56 to $-0.34	58%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.72	45d	+$0.23	$0.16 to $0.34	65%	49%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.06 · $90 this cycle

27.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$270

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$14

If assigned

-$43,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,474 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $8.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	17d	-$0.37	$-0.52 to $-0.27	57%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.72	45d	+$0.36	$0.30 to $0.50	66%	49%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,840 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.26 · $660 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$1,165

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$168

If assigned

-$45,840

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,544 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	24d	-$0.35	$-0.57 to $-0.40	59%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.72	45d	+$0.26	$0.13 to $0.26	66%	49%
Safety Up	$7.72	45d	-$0.12	$-0.30 to $-0.16	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.18 · $360 this cycle

43.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$240

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$94

If assigned

-$40,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.18 · $360 this cycle

43.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$240

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$94

If assigned

-$40,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.49 · $1,290 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$860

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$216

If assigned

-$45,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-04 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.