SBET @ $6.29

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.17 · $450 this cycle

19.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$844

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$213

If assigned

-$44,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,420 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $7.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	23d	+$0.00	$-0.06 to $0.04	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.21	44d	+$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.08	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $120 this cycle

43.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$225

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$91

If assigned

-$40,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,704 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $9.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	23d	-$0.07	$-0.06 to $0.09	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.71	23d	+$0.06	$0.09 to $0.24	63%	44%
Safety Up	$9.71	44d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.15	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $480 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$1,600

Annualized

103%

EV / cycle

+$214

If assigned

-$46,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,063 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	16d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.12	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.21	16d	+$0.00	$-0.08 to $0.01	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$7.71	37d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.03	77%	70%
Safety Up	$8.71	44d	-$0.05	$-0.19 to $-0.05	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$7.71	44d	+$0.17	$0.07 to $0.19	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.21 · $540 this cycle

27.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$540

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$231

If assigned

-$42,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($1,962 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	37d	-$0.11	$-0.17 to $-0.04	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.71	37d	+$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.12	64%	45%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.13 · $330 this cycle

59.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$225

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$194

If assigned

-$37,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $1,590 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,084

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$496

If assigned

-$44,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.