SBET @ $6.23

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.14 · $330 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,100

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$187

If assigned

-$46,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($1,565 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	16d	-$0.17	$-0.36 to $-0.16	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.77	44d	+$0.28	$0.12 to $0.32	66%	51%
Safety Up	$7.77	44d	-$0.09	$-0.30 to $-0.07	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.06 · $60 this cycle

20.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$25

If assigned

-$44,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,677 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	16d	-$0.20	$-0.36 to $-0.09	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.27	44d	+$0.27	$0.14 to $0.42	66%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.34 · $510 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$956

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$74

If assigned

-$45,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,222 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	23d	-$0.21	$-0.37 to $-0.24	60%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.77	37d	+$0.02	$-0.11 to $0.02	59%	48%
Safety Up	$7.77	44d	-$0.01	$-0.12 to $-0.02	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.17 · $360 this cycle

44.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$245

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$128

If assigned

-$40,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.17 · $360 this cycle

44.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$245

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$128

If assigned

-$40,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.49 · $1,290 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$880

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$280

If assigned

-$45,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 21:44 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.