SBET @ $6.42

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $270 this cycle

16.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$1,012

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$164

If assigned

-$44,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,024 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	15d	+$0.11	$0.08 to $0.16	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.58	15d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.12	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$8.09	29d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.13	76%	68%
Safety Up	$9.09	43d	-$0.01	$-0.11 to $0.04	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$8.09	43d	+$0.23	$0.16 to $0.29	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.04 · $60 this cycle

32.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$225

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$41

If assigned

-$41,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,160 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $8.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.50	15d	+$0.09	$0.08 to $0.20	68%	53%
Up And Out	$8.59	15d	+$0.04	$0.03 to $0.15	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$9.09	29d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.17	75%	67%
Reliable Up	$9.09	43d	+$0.22	$0.19 to $0.34	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $540 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$2,025

Annualized

128%

EV / cycle

+$237

If assigned

-$45,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($955 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	15d	+$0.12	$0.07 to $0.13	68%	53%
Up And Out	$7.08	15d	+$0.07	$0.02 to $0.07	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$7.58	29d	+$0.08	$-0.01 to $0.08	76%	68%
Safety Up	$9.59	43d	-$0.14	$-0.29 to $-0.16	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$7.58	43d	+$0.23	$0.13 to $0.22	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $570 this cycle

40.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$398

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$290

If assigned

-$39,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.11 · $240 this cycle

55.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$123

If assigned

-$37,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($2,453 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 27 at spot $10.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	43d	-$0.11	$-0.09 to $0.08	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.59	43d	+$0.08	$0.13 to $0.34	64%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,270 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.46 · $1,230 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,025

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$256

If assigned

-$45,270

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($1,717 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	43d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.04	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.58	43d	+$0.25	$0.20 to $0.24	64%	43%
Safety Up	$8.59	43d	-$0.39	$-0.53 to $-0.45	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.