SBET @ $6.22

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-72.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,840 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.28 · $660 this cycle

28.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$460

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$290

If assigned

-$42,840

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.12 · $210 this cycle

28.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$420

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$43,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,154 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	22d	-$0.54	$-0.71 to $-0.40	59%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.78	43d	+$0.11	$0.01 to $0.29	67%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.23 · $510 this cycle

12.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$1,020

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$124

If assigned

-$45,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($1,885 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	22d	-$0.46	$-0.73 to $-0.50	59%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.78	43d	+$0.16	$-0.02 to $0.16	67%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,840 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.28 · $660 this cycle

28.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$460

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$290

If assigned

-$42,840

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.17 · $360 this cycle

44.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$251

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$145

If assigned

-$40,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.49 · $1,350 this cycle

12.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$942

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$381

If assigned

-$45,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.