SBET @ $6.31

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-71.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $180 this cycle

18.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$771

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$98

If assigned

-$44,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,050 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	14d	+$0.08	$0.04 to $0.16	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.19	28d	+$0.02	$-0.06 to $0.09	77%	70%
Safety Up	$9.19	42d	-$0.05	$-0.15 to $0.02	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$8.19	42d	+$0.16	$0.09 to $0.25	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

42.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$193

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$71

If assigned

-$40,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($1,603 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	21d	-$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.15	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.19	35d	+$0.01	$0.03 to $0.22	70%	58%
Safety Up	$9.69	42d	-$0.02	$-0.02 to $0.17	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds23%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $390 this cycle

10.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

77%

Income / mo

$1,671

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$169

If assigned

-$46,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($980 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	14d	+$0.09	$0.03 to $0.11	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.69	28d	+$0.02	$-0.09 to $0.03	77%	70%
Safety Up	$8.69	42d	-$0.05	$-0.19 to $-0.05	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$7.69	42d	+$0.17	$0.06 to $0.18	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.18 · $480 this cycle

42.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$343

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$244

If assigned

-$40,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.14 · $300 this cycle

42.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$88

If assigned

-$40,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($2,274 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $9.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	42d	-$0.09	$-0.12 to $0.03	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.69	42d	+$0.05	$0.03 to $0.21	65%	46%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,030 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.52 · $1,470 this cycle

10.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,050

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$443

If assigned

-$45,030

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-07 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.