SBET @ $8.95

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-60.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.10 · $240 this cycle

11.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,029

Annualized

47%

EV / cycle

+$94

If assigned

-$37,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($986 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	14d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.21	68%	52%
Up And Out	$10.05	14d	+$0.14	$0.10 to $0.18	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$12.05	42d	+$0.07	$-0.05 to $0.09	83%	80%
Safety Up	$13.05	42d	-$0.06	$-0.20 to $-0.04	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.06 · $150 this cycle

34.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$321

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$139

If assigned

-$31,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,664 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $12.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	21d	+$0.04	$0.06 to $0.18	67%	53%
Up And Out	$12.05	21d	+$0.02	$0.04 to $0.16	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$13.05	42d	+$0.07	$0.05 to $0.25	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,460 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.20 · $540 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$2,314

Annualized

105%

EV / cycle

+$189

If assigned

-$38,460

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.31/share ($936 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	14d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.18	68%	53%
Up And Out	$9.55	14d	+$0.15	$0.09 to $0.15	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.55	42d	+$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.05	84%	80%
Safety Up	$12.55	35d	-$0.16	$-0.33 to $-0.19	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$10.55	42d	+$0.28	$0.17 to $0.28	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,690 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.29 · $810 this cycle

34.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$579

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$392

If assigned

-$30,690

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.17 · $390 this cycle

39.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$334

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$200

If assigned

-$29,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($2,770 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	42d	-$0.08	$-0.11 to $0.05	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $0.63 · $1,830 this cycle

11.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,307

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$543

If assigned

-$35,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.