SBET @ $8.49

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-62.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,820 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.10 · $180 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$771

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$67

If assigned

-$38,820

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.38/share ($1,131 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $9.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	14d	-$0.13	$-0.27 to $-0.10	61%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.01	42d	+$0.06	$-0.07 to $0.10	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$10.01	42d	+$0.36	$0.26 to $0.41	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 28 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.21 · $270 this cycle

41.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$289

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$216

If assigned

-$31,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.17/share ($3,503 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $12.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	35d	-$0.68	$-0.83 to $-0.38	63%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.20 · $450 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$1,929

Annualized

92%

EV / cycle

+$127

If assigned

-$40,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($1,072 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	14d	-$0.12	$-0.29 to $-0.16	61%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.51	42d	+$0.07	$-0.10 to $0.03	82%	77%
Safety Up	$11.51	42d	-$0.11	$-0.31 to $-0.16	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$9.51	42d	+$0.36	$0.23 to $0.33	74%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,720 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.34 · $780 this cycle

29.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$557

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$413

If assigned

-$33,720

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.24 · $450 this cycle

41.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$321

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$290

If assigned

-$31,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,180 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.52 · $1,320 this cycle

17.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$943

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$526

If assigned

-$36,180

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.