SBET @ $8.61

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-61.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $270 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$1,350

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$166

If assigned

-$38,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($856 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	13d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.22	68%	52%
Up And Out	$9.89	13d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.04	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$11.89	41d	+$0.03	$-0.10 to $0.05	86%	83%
Safety Up	$12.89	41d	-$0.08	$-0.22 to $-0.05	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$10.89	41d	+$0.20	$0.10 to $0.23	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 27 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.18 · $270 this cycle

39.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$232

If assigned

-$31,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($2,342 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	34d	-$0.12	$-0.12 to $0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.39	34d	+$0.12	$0.15 to $0.35	60%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.20 · $540 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

127%

EV / cycle

+$200

If assigned

-$39,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.27/share ($811 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	13d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.18	68%	52%
Up And Out	$9.39	13d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $-0.01	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$11.39	41d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.01	86%	84%
Safety Up	$12.39	41d	-$0.07	$-0.25 to $-0.12	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$10.39	41d	+$0.19	$0.06 to $0.16	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.30 · $630 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$556

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$261

If assigned

-$35,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,504 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	41d	-$0.05	$-0.13 to $-0.01	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.89	41d	+$0.25	$0.18 to $0.33	63%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

51.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$307

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$241

If assigned

-$28,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,060 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.52 · $1,440 this cycle

16.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$1,054

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$512

If assigned

-$36,060

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-05 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.