SBET @ $8.80

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-60.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,190 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.42 · $810 this cycle

30.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$552

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$326

If assigned

-$32,190

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.12 · $240 this cycle

36.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$313

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$110

If assigned

-$31,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($2,581 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	30d	-$0.20	$-0.26 to $-0.05	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.70	44d	+$0.06	$0.01 to $0.29	64%	48%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,710 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.57 · $1,290 this cycle

8.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,683

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$372

If assigned

-$37,710

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($2,043 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $9.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	30d	-$0.07	$-0.22 to $-0.12	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.20	44d	+$0.18	$0.01 to $0.14	64%	49%
Safety Up	$11.20	44d	-$0.38	$-0.62 to $-0.47	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,190 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.42 · $810 this cycle

30.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$552

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$326

If assigned

-$32,190

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.17 · $390 this cycle

36.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$390

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$195

If assigned

-$31,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.07/share ($3,206 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	37d	-$0.32	$-0.40 to $-0.15	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.20	37d	+$0.04	$-0.01 to $0.31	59%	36%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.68 · $1,590 this cycle

8.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,590

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$399

If assigned

-$37,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($2,538 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $9.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	37d	-$0.15	$-0.33 to $-0.23	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$8.70	37d	+$0.21	$0.04 to $0.16	59%	35%
Safety Up	$10.70	44d	-$0.48	$-0.75 to $-0.60	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.