SBET @ $8.86

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-60.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $420 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,400

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$186

If assigned

-$37,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,272 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	16d	+$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.09	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.64	44d	+$0.03	$-0.11 to $0.05	80%	76%
Safety Up	$12.64	44d	-$0.13	$-0.31 to $-0.12	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$11.14	44d	+$0.14	$0.01 to $0.17	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.19 · $330 this cycle

46.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$268

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$121

If assigned

-$28,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.01/share ($3,037 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $13.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	44d	-$0.23	$-0.26 to $-0.06	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.14	44d	+$0.18	$0.20 to $0.46	59%	37%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.24 · $510 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$1,700

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$30

If assigned

-$38,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.40/share ($1,208 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	16d	+$0.07	$-0.03 to $0.06	65%	53%
Up And Out	$9.64	16d	+$0.00	$-0.11 to $-0.02	67%	57%
Ss Escape	$11.14	44d	+$0.04	$-0.13 to $0.00	81%	76%
Safety Up	$12.14	44d	-$0.12	$-0.32 to $-0.17	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$10.64	44d	+$0.15	$-0.00 to $0.12	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.39 · $900 this cycle

29.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$614

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$349

If assigned

-$32,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.19 · $330 this cycle

46.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$268

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$121

If assigned

-$28,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.01/share ($3,037 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $13.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	44d	-$0.23	$-0.26 to $-0.06	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$12.14	44d	+$0.18	$0.20 to $0.46	59%	37%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,030 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.54 · $1,470 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,192

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$364

If assigned

-$36,030

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($2,337 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $10.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	44d	-$0.04	$-0.14 to $-0.06	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.64	44d	+$0.06	$-0.04 to $0.05	63%	47%
Safety Up	$11.64	44d	-$0.49	$-0.65 to $-0.55	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 21:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.