SBET @ $8.59

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-61.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.17 · $330 this cycle

16.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$660

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$54

If assigned

-$37,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,605 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $10.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	22d	-$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.02	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.41	36d	+$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.08	72%	62%
Safety Up	$10.91	43d	-$0.02	$-0.15 to $0.00	75%	69%
Reliable Up	$10.41	43d	+$0.14	$0.03 to $0.17	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.10 · $150 this cycle

28.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$53

If assigned

-$34,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,766 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	22d	-$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.10	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$11.41	36d	+$0.01	$-0.04 to $0.18	71%	61%
Reliable Up	$11.41	43d	+$0.11	$0.06 to $0.28	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.27 · $570 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$2,138

Annualized

101%

EV / cycle

+$74

If assigned

-$39,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,418 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	15d	-$0.04	$-0.23 to $-0.09	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$9.91	43d	+$0.04	$-0.20 to $-0.02	76%	69%
Safety Up	$10.91	43d	-$0.17	$-0.45 to $-0.24	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$9.41	43d	+$0.20	$-0.01 to $0.15	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.28 · $570 this cycle

28.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$475

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$277

If assigned

-$33,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.90/share ($2,687 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	43d	-$0.17	$-0.27 to $-0.10	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.41	43d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.20	61%	41%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.23 · $420 this cycle

39.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$293

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$117

If assigned

-$31,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,380 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.66 · $1,620 this cycle

10.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,130

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$347

If assigned

-$37,380

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.