SBET @ $8.45

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-62.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.21 · $240 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$76

If assigned

-$38,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,241 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $9.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	15d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.07	66%	53%
Up And Out	$9.55	15d	+$0.00	$-0.09 to $0.04	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.55	43d	+$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.09	77%	71%
Safety Up	$11.05	36d	-$0.05	$-0.20 to $-0.02	81%	78%
Reliable Up	$10.05	36d	+$0.19	$0.08 to $0.24	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.06 · $90 this cycle

24.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$337

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$63

If assigned

-$35,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($1,371 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	15d	+$0.00	$-0.06 to $0.08	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.55	43d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.12	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $39,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.26 · $570 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$2,138

Annualized

103%

EV / cycle

+$169

If assigned

-$39,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,175 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	15d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.02	66%	53%
Up And Out	$9.05	15d	+$0.01	$-0.11 to $-0.01	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.05	43d	+$0.06	$-0.11 to $0.03	77%	71%
Safety Up	$11.05	43d	-$0.14	$-0.34 to $-0.18	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$9.55	36d	+$0.19	$0.05 to $0.18	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.24 · $570 this cycle

30.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$475

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$191

If assigned

-$33,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,533 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $11.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	43d	-$0.15	$-0.23 to $-0.07	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.55	43d	+$0.05	$-0.01 to $0.17	62%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.20 · $360 this cycle

42.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$251

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$210

If assigned

-$31,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,590 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.58 · $1,410 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$984

Annualized

47%

EV / cycle

+$319

If assigned

-$37,590

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 21:54 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.