SBET @ $8.53

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-62.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $38,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.15 · $300 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$149

If assigned

-$38,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($1,342 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.50	14d	-$0.16	$-0.32 to $-0.13	62%	52%
Ss Escape	$9.97	28d	+$0.04	$-0.11 to $0.08	73%	64%
Safety Up	$10.97	42d	-$0.09	$-0.27 to $-0.06	80%	76%
Reliable Up	$9.97	42d	+$0.22	$0.09 to $0.27	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.14 · $300 this cycle

52.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$271

If assigned

-$28,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.96/share ($2,883 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	42d	-$0.26	$-0.25 to $-0.01	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $40,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $9 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.18 · $420 this cycle

5.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

86%

EV / cycle

+$19

If assigned

-$40,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($1,272 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	14d	-$0.14	$-0.35 to $-0.19	62%	52%
Ss Escape	$9.47	28d	+$0.05	$-0.14 to $0.01	73%	64%
Safety Up	$10.47	42d	-$0.08	$-0.32 to $-0.13	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$9.47	42d	+$0.23	$0.04 to $0.19	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.30 · $600 this cycle

29.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$429

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$190

If assigned

-$33,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.14 · $300 this cycle

52.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$271

If assigned

-$28,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.96/share ($2,883 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	42d	-$0.26	$-0.25 to $-0.01	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.36 · $900 this cycle

17.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$771

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$300

If assigned

-$36,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($2,218 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $10.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	42d	-$0.06	$-0.15 to $-0.04	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.47	42d	+$0.18	$0.11 to $0.23	62%	42%
Safety Up	$10.47	42d	-$0.23	$-0.33 to $-0.23	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.