SBET @ $9.38

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-58.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.17 · $300 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$35,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.43/share ($1,295 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	14d	-$0.04	$-0.15 to $0.00	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.12	35d	+$0.28	$0.17 to $0.33	74%	64%
Safety Up	$12.12	35d	-$0.04	$-0.20 to $-0.01	80%	76%
Reliable Up	$11.12	42d	+$0.30	$0.19 to $0.36	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.15 · $360 this cycle

49.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$309

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$191

If assigned

-$25,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.06/share ($3,172 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	42d	-$0.43	$-0.46 to $-0.18	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $10 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.24 · $570 this cycle

6.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

106%

EV / cycle

+$126

If assigned

-$36,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($1,234 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	14d	-$0.02	$-0.17 to $-0.04	64%	53%
Ss Escape	$10.62	35d	+$0.28	$0.14 to $0.27	74%	65%
Safety Up	$11.62	28d	-$0.13	$-0.33 to $-0.16	82%	79%
Reliable Up	$10.62	42d	+$0.31	$0.15 to $0.29	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $30,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.29 · $600 this cycle

27.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$127

If assigned

-$30,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.91/share ($2,719 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	42d	-$0.29	$-0.41 to $-0.22	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$11.12	42d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.18	55%	36%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $14 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.15 · $360 this cycle

49.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$309

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$191

If assigned

-$25,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.06/share ($3,172 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	42d	-$0.43	$-0.46 to $-0.18	64%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.47 · $1,200 this cycle

17.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$1,029

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$355

If assigned

-$33,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($2,492 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	42d	-$0.23	$-0.38 to $-0.24	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$10.12	42d	+$0.11	$-0.03 to $0.14	55%	36%
Safety Up	$11.62	42d	-$0.28	$-0.40 to $-0.30	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 22:04 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.